“If climate were an important bank, rich governments would have already saved it”. An IPCC study reveals that climate effects due to CO2 emissions and confirms the 1,5°C increase of the global temperature. The limit that 197 states committed to respect by signing the Paris Agreements has already been exceeded, with devasting consequences.

Devastation and much fear. The study, named Special Report 15, confirms the consequences caused by the continuing increase of global temperature and other climate changes. The established limit is +1,5°C. But the extreme phenomena in our Planet happen by now almost everyday. Hurricanes always more damaging, catastrophic hailstorms, floods.

Climate changes cause melting glaciers and consequently rising sea levels. In some cases, we cannot even predict the risks. The cause is always the same: the irresponsible emissions of greenhouse gases that pollute air and raise sea’s acidification.

Study reveal: the climate reality is worse than we thought

Industrial emissions
Photo by Thomas Hafeneth on Unsplash

Between 2030 and 2050 the global temperature will have risen by 1,5°C compared to pre-industrial levels. It was confirmed in the Special Report 15, a study by the IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on the Climate Change. The risk is at its highest: if we keep on living like that, by the end of the century the temperature will have risen of 3°C. in those conditions we will probably extinguish. We must fight climate change, otherwise the consequences will destroy us.

Hurricane
Hurrican, photo by Nasa on Unsplash

Reality seems to go far beyond our most optimistic expectances of Paris COP 21. It’s now clear that climate-change deniers – who perhaps live in their own world – don’t have any credibility left. It’s too late to fix it all, but we need to change things. If we don’t reduce drastically greenhouse gas emissions, in 12 years the consequences will be far more dramatic.

The study is highly credible. It’s the result of the analysis made by 91 highly qualified experts on almost 6,000 studies and researches. An enormous workload, real time supervised by tens of other scientists. Nothing was left up to fate. Among the various discoveries, one demonstrated that, since 1950, the temperature has risen of 0,17°C every 10 years.

Fires in a forest
Photo by Matt Howard on Unsplash

The IPCC didn’t just analyze the consequences of a 1,5°C temperature increase. Scientists explained also the urgent need to reduce as much as possible the CO2 quantity in the air. Since the help given by forests and woods could not be enough, it’s necessary to develop and use technologies able to capture carbon dioxide on a larger scale. These technologies are not all yet to be developed. Anyway, if we want to act promptly, this is one of the road we can follow.

Islands, coasts, atolls: oceans will drown us

Flood
Photo by Jim Gade on Unsplash

Although the study still leaves some hope for the future of our planet, it confirms that a 1,5°C increase is enough to make the atmospheric phenomena always more extreme. Many islands and atolls are dangerously threatened by the rising sea levels caused by the glaciers’ melting.
If the temperature increase will be limited to 1,5°C, the global rising of the seas will be 10 cm less than the levels correspondent to a 2°C temperature increase. If the temperatures do reach and pass the +2°C limit, instead, the scenario will be unbelievable. The Arctic Ocean’s ice will disappear, just like 99% of the coral reefs.

Rising of the sea level in Venice
Rising of the sea level in Venice, photo by Niklas Hamann on Unsplash

According to IPCC scientist Hans-Otto Pörtner «in the oceans, many upheavals will cause the death of species that cannot easily move. And it will take thousands of years to recover from the chemical changes due to the acidification process».

Moreover, the northern hemisphere will be hit by sudden heath waves that will cause extremely devastating hurricanes, floods and droughts. Even the risk of a desertic Europe, especially the southern regions, is high. A series of dangerous consequences in front of which the world’s population could be completely unprepared.

Our society’s time is up. Can we still react?

Paris, 13 October 2018, Less talk, more actions
Paris, 13 October 2018, Less talk, more actions, photo by Jeanne Menjoulet on Flickr

We must react, experts say. That’s why they dedicated an entire chapter to the ways we can use to act before it gets too late. By 2050, greenhouse gas emissions must be only a bad memory. To make this possible, all world’s social, political, economic and financial powers must cooperate. The goals are to:

  1. Use everywhere only clean energy, from transports to industries to buildings
  2. Reduce by 45% the toxic emissions between 2010 and 2030 and eliminate them completely by 2050
  3. Produce at least 70%-80% of the total required energy through renewable sources by 2050

The situation is alarming. As shown by last year’s data. The global temperature has already risen by 1°C. However, according to IPCC scientists this is not the end yet. With their crucial work, they indicated the best ways to act to make the climate change less dramatic as possible. Now it’s political institutions’ turn to make the adequate decisions and take their responsibilities.

Bangkok climate change talks, 28 September 2009
Bangkok climate change talks, 28 September 2009, photo by Shubert Ciencia on Flickr

We need to radically change our society’s lifestyle. In everyday life, each of us can adopt good sustainable habits necessary to save the environment. Until now, too many of us joked at the Planet’s fate expenses. But the situation has gone out of control and now the joke’s on everyone. The time to postpone has finally ended.

Cover image: photo by NASA on Unsplash

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  • norm

    If you accept the IPCC picture of near future you’re a fool ! It’s way, way worse, already they a manipulated by global politics, as normal putting capitalism, and profits before the truth. The original ( pre- industrial) start line was 1750, the early to mid 18th century the industrial revolution was well under way, so we have shifting goal posts as an example. They take extremely conservative estimates to water down the truth and selectively overlook critical factor in their modelling, with linear maps and graphs . To the most part it’s all rubbish! The conclusion to anyone who looks deeper is, by 2025 the Earth will be well on the way to being a dead world, or the world of MAD MAX as I like to call it; Chaos and starvation on a mass scale will be well under way, along with social and economic collapse the order of the day ! By 2030 aided by Blue Ocean events all years round at the N/Pole there will almost nothing left, a dying world rapidly killing off the very last surviving life. BY 2050 it will be GONE all of it, the 6th mass extinction but this time probably 100% if not 99% of all things gone. That is the truth.

  • Ecobnb

    Hi Norm, thank you for sharing your thought. It would be great if you could you share some useful links or sources.
    What is certain is that we need to radically change our lifestyle asap!